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Reducing Traffic During the Experiment

Reducing traffic during an experiment can introduce several significant risks that may compromise the validity, reliability, and overall success of the experimental outcomes. It is crucial to understand these risks in detail.

Reduced Statistical Power

Lower traffic can lead to smaller sample sizes, which in turn reduces the statistical power of the experiment. This makes it more difficult to detect significant differences between the control and treatment groups, increasing the likelihood of Type II errors (false negatives).

Effect Dilution

ABC accumulates user experiment data from the time of the user's first exposure. After reducing the experiment traffic, some users will no longer be influenced by the new product features but will still be counted in the experiment group, diluting the experiment effect.

Bias Introduction

If traffic reduction is not uniformly applied across all groups, it can introduce selection bias. This can result in an unrepresentative sample that skews the results and undermines the experiment's validity.

Inconsistent User Experience

Reducing traffic might lead to inconsistent user experiences, particularly if the reduction is not managed carefully. For instance, users who have already been exposed to the new product features may experience a degradation in user experience, which can affect user behavior and introduce additional variability into the results.